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MIB Daily: AI Is Now the Fed’s Inflation Problem as Applied Materials Sinks 6.69%, Aramco Burns After Oil Settles, and BlackRock and Citi Step Back From Stocks at a 5.2% 10-Year Before CPI

By RecessionALERT on October 13, 2026 in Reflections

NY Fed Vice Chair Williams sees one more hike this year and none in 2027, a ceiling futures refuse to price, while Boston’s Collins wants rates “a bit further” higher. A Houthi missile set part of Saudi Aramco’s Dhahran headquarters ablaze after oil settled. Bank of America drew a $1.2B anti-money-laundering penalty on the eve of earnings. Applied Materials sank 6.69% on a missing spending forecast while Meta rose 2.63%. Citi and BlackRock both stepped back from US stocks.

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MIB: Summit Override — S&P and Nasdaq ATH Despite PPI 6.0%, Warsh Confirmed, 30-Year Clears 5%

By RecessionALERT on May 13, 2026 in Reflections

S&P 500 hit a fresh all-time high (7,444) as the Trump-Xi summit in Beijing drove AI and semiconductor stocks to records — Nvidia reached $5.5T market cap and Trump confirmed discussing Blackwell chip exports with Xi — even as April PPI printed +6.0% YoY, the hottest since December 2022. Kevin Warsh was confirmed as Fed Chair 54-45, inheriting a policy trap. The 30-year Treasury crossed 5.046% at auction. The IEA warned of the largest oil supply deficit in history at 8.5 mb/day.

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