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MIB Daily: The AI Trade’s Weak Spot Is the Bill, Lam Research -11.76% and GE Vernova -10.64% as Staples and Treasuries Rally, Brent Hits $112.88 and Trump Invokes the DPA for Oil, Six Days Before the FOMC

By RecessionALERT on October 22, 2026 in Reflections

An AI-hardware rout sank the Nasdaq 100 2.90% and dragged the S&P 500 down 1.21%, yet two of three S&P stocks rose. Lam Research fell 11.76% and GE Vernova lost 10.64%. Treasuries caught a haven bid, cutting the 10-year yield 17.2 bps to 4.951%. Brent jumped 3.73% to $112.88, its highest close since May 4, after Houthi strikes on Saudi targets. Trump invoked the Defense Production Act for domestic oil. Moderna sank 17.57% on leaked Phase 3 melanoma data.

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MIB: Narrow Record — Intel Blowout and DOJ-Powell Resolution Lift S&P/Nasdaq as UMich Hits All-Time Low

By RecessionALERT on April 24, 2026 in Reflections

S&P 500 (+0.80%) and Nasdaq 100 (+1.95%) hit fresh records as Intel (+23.6%) blew out Q1 — best day since 1987 — dragging AMD (+13.9%) and NVDA (+4.3%, back above $5T). But the rally was narrow: Dow (-0.16%), Transports (-0.94%), NYSE Composite all red. DOJ dropped its Powell probe, clearing Warsh’s path; 10Y slipped to 4.31%. UMich sentiment crashed to a record-low 49.8 with 1-year inflation expectations spiking to 4.7%. Mega-cap tech earnings loom next week.

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