Tag Archives | Industrial Production

NBER’s Big-4 Indicators had a narrow miss

Reading through all the positive press about jobs numbers and so forth, its hard to comprehend that the 4 main indicators used by the National Buro of Economic Research (NBER) to determine US recessions, had a narrow miss recently. If you recall from our popular 2012 article, the NBER does not define a recession in […]

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 IMPORTANT : SEE OUR 1Q2025 ECONOMIC WRAP IN THE COMMENTARY SECTION FOR AN UPDATE ON U.S AND GLOBAL ECONOMY AND RISING RECESSION RISKS.