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MIB Daily: Intel’s 28.58% Plunge Reprices AI Leaders as Three Fed Presidents Push Hikes and Gold Sinks 3.63%, Leaving Treasuries the Only Hedge, With a December Hike Near 76% Awaiting Payrolls

By RecessionALERT on October 30, 2026 in Reflections

Intel (INTC) plunged 28.58%, dragging AMD down 10.88% and leaving the Nasdaq 100 down 3.46% and 9.1% below its October 6 close. Three Fed presidents argued for more hikes, yet the 10-year yield fell 6.1 bps. Limpet mines hit a Hormuz tanker as Brent rose 1.39% to $112.34. Gold sank 3.63% and silver fell 6.20%, removing a haven. Binance’s $6.3 billion theft drew CFTC fire, and Bitcoin fell 2.50%. Global Payments jumped 12.97% on buyout talk.

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MIB Daily: The Fed Can Raise Rates but It Cannot Pump Oil, 10Y at 5.006% on a Seventh Straight Rise With WTI +4.10%, as Carlyle Likens AI Lending to Subprime and Crypto’s Rulebook Dies 46-43

By RecessionALERT on September 15, 2026 in Reflections

The Senate killed crypto market structure 46-43 — Lummis: “I think we’re done. It’s over.” Bitcoin fell 3.84% to $76,058. The 10-year posted its first 5%-handle close, a seventh straight, on the eve of a hike priced at 96%. WTI +4.10% to $105.55 with Saudi’s pipeline up to six weeks from repair; EIA weekly diesel broke $6 at $6.285. Empire State collapsed to 7.6 from 20.60. Carlyle likened AI-infrastructure lending to subprime. Thermo Fisher +4.53%; Wells Fargo cut its S&P target to 7,700.

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