Tag Archives | term spread

We likely avoided a full yield-curve inversion

In our early June post “Is the U.S Yield Curve Inversion locked in?” we mused that only portions of the term-spread complex had inverted and most likely would remain that way, allowing us to avoid a full scale term-spread inversion. As the chart below shows, this is indeed the case – with only 50% of […]

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 IMPORTANT : A NEW SAHM MODEL HAS BEEN DEVELOPED THAT ACCOUNTS FOR INCREASED LABOR SUPPLY (IMMIGRATION) THAT IS SUPPOSEDLY SKEWING THE MODEL.  SEE THE SAHM RESEARCH NOTE, NEW SECTION 13