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50 State Co-incident update : No Recession

A while back we published an interesting project (Predicting US Recessions with State co-incident data) to see if we could get some advance recession warning  from the co-incident indices of the 50 US states. We built a composite economic index of 50 U.S states as published by the Philadelphia Federal Reserve, combined in a positively-weighted […]

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 IMPORTANT : SEE OUR 1Q2025 ECONOMIC WRAP IN THE COMMENTARY SECTION FOR AN UPDATE ON U.S AND GLOBAL ECONOMY AND RISING RECESSION RISKS.