Tag Archives | recession indicator

Valuation estimate of SP500 2015 returns : 2,246 target

The RecessionALERT Valuation Index (RAVI) is a multifactor valuation model that examines cyclically adjusted trailing SP-500 earnings (various multi-decade horizons), the SP-500 total-return index level, total stock market capitalization, Gross Domestic Product, non-financial corporate equities and liabilities, non-financial corporate business net-worth and percentage of investors’ allocation to stocks versus cash and bonds to determine 10, 5, […]

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 IMPORTANT : SEE OUR 1Q2025 ECONOMIC WRAP IN THE COMMENTARY SECTION FOR AN UPDATE ON U.S AND GLOBAL ECONOMY AND RISING RECESSION RISKS.