Tag Archives | market risk

RecessionALERT Valuation Index (RAVI)

Download article as PDF PART-1 There are currently 4 mainstream models used to forecast¬†10-year total returns on the SP-500 (dividends re-invested) The Shiller CAPE ratio (PE10) The Warren Buffet Indicator Tobin’s Q-Ratio Average Investor allocation to stocks The non-linear quarterly correlations between these four models (x-axes) and achieved 10-year future total returns (y-axes) on the […]

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