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MIB Daily: Free Cash Flow Is the New AI Scorecard and Alphabet Failed It, Erasing $500 Billion as Healthcare and Real Estate Led, the 10-Year Fell Below 5% on a 3.4% GDP Beat and Crude Held Above $100 on Iran Risk

By RecessionALERT on October 29, 2026 in Reflections

Alphabet’s worst day since its 2004 listing (-12.64%) on negative free cash flow erased roughly $500 billion and dragged the Nasdaq 100 down 1.38%, yet four in five S&P 500 stocks rose. Q3 GDP beat at 3.4% and PCE inflation matched at 3.6%; the 10-year fell 11.7 bps to 4.934%. Microsoft launched a $25 billion-plus bond sale. DoorDash (+5.61%) agreed to buy Instacart for $17 billion. CENTCOM briefed Trump on Iran military options; crude ended flat above $100.

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MIB Daily: The AI Boom Now Pays for Itself With Stock, as Anthropic Files and Meta Raises $35 Billion While Chip Suppliers Rally, the 2-Year Prices a Hike Before Warsh, and Brazil ADRs Crash

By RecessionALERT on October 26, 2026 in Reflections

Anthropic filed its public S-1 for a Nasdaq IPO as ANT, and the Nasdaq 100 rose 1.09% as AI hardware led. Meta (META) fell 1.88% on a roughly $35 billion stock offering to fund its AI build-out. The 2-year yield rose 3.0 bps two days before Wednesday’s Fed decision. Lula’s fourth term sank Brazilian assets, with Petrobras (PBR) down 13.99%. WTI fell 1.60% as regional envoys opened talks in Tehran. Tesla (TSLA) jumped 5.21% on a Barclays upgrade.

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MIB Daily: The War Shows Up in Prices, Not Panic, as Brent Hits $116.62 and Selling Prices Run Hottest Since 2022, Energy Leads While Staples and Gold Fall Ahead of Wednesday’s Fed Decision

By RecessionALERT on October 23, 2026 in Reflections

Houthi attacks in Saudi Arabia lifted Brent 3.05% to $116.62, its third straight weekly gain, as UN Ambassador Waltz warned the Iran war could last another year. The Dow fell 1.23% while the Nasdaq 100 finished flat. Flash PMI selling prices rose at the sharpest rate since August 2022 and Michigan year-ahead inflation expectations hit 4.7%, ahead of Wednesday’s Fed decision. CrowdStrike jumped 8.25%, gold slid 1.25%, and Instacart rose about 9% on reported sale talks with Uber and DoorDash.

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