Complacency about personal finances, stock-market & economy has bottomed.

By RecessionALERT on May 14, 2024 in Reflections

Composites created from U.S geography limited internet searches for 8 search-terms we have found most aligned to uncertainty and fear regarding personal finances, the stock market and the economy have bottomed and appear to be on the rise:

Both the equal-weighted composite and our preferred measure, the “search-volume weighted” composite bottomed in January 2024. This latter measure weighs each search term by the actual number of searches measured for the month as opposed to using the “relative to its history” standard measure such as that provided by Google Trends.

The utility of these measures is amplified once they exceed a threshold of 30 since this is normally a warning of economic recession and increased market volatility and draw downs.

You can see this chart updated every month in the MONTHLY CHARTS menu, in the GOOGLE tab.

About RecessionALERT

Dwaine has a Bachelor of Science (BSc Hons) university degree majoring in computer science, math & statistics and is a full-time trader and investor. His passion for numbers and keen research & analytic ability has helped grow RecessionALERT into a company used by hundreds of hedge funds, brokerage firms and financial advisers around the world.

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