Archive | January, 2019

Yield curve inversion forecast update – Dec ’18

Based on the methodology discussed here we hereby update our U.S Yield-curve inversion forecast and subsequent recession and stock market peak forecasts. All the forecast dates have moved foward by 1 month:

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 IMPORTANT : SEE OUR 1Q2025 ECONOMIC WRAP IN THE COMMENTARY SECTION FOR AN UPDATE ON U.S AND GLOBAL ECONOMY AND RISING RECESSION RISKS.