Archive | January, 2014

U.S future economic outlook improves

The RecessionALERT monthly U.S Leading Growth Index (USMLI) is an index that attempts to capture  future (6-9 months) U.S economic growth. The index has been constructed since 1960, but this report only displays data from 2000 onwards to capture the last two recessions. The USMLI consist of  10 sub-components that are in turn constructed from over […]

Read full story · Comments are closed

Seasonality approaching its worst point

We have entered the Mid-Term cycle in the Quadrennial Presidential Cycle, in which the months April through to September typically represent the worst SP-500 seasonal period for the entire 4 year cycle. The current cycle which commenced in 2012 has performed way above average so far, as shown below with the black dotted line: However […]

Read full story · Comments are closed

  Have you read our latest commentary ?