The political standoff associated with the debt ceiling and government shutdown has made its impact felt the last 3 weeks on the weekly leading data. Two out of the 5 main components of the WLInr are now firmly planted in recession warning territory with some 30% of all underlying 50 weekly time series also camped there: With the government shutdown now over we hope to restore full reporting service next week as the data starts coming through. We had our […]
Archive | October, 2013
Market Timing Strategies – putting it all together
We offer a number of timing strategies for the SP-500 as described below: 1.Long-term investment models These are primarily focused on funds-grade long-term investing models such as the Recession Forecasting Ensemble (RFE) and the Composite Market Health Index (CMHI). These are high confidence, infrequent traders. They attempt to capture as much upside of the market (SP-500) as possible whilst avoiding the bear markets. The CMHI is focused on purely technical factors whilst the RFE is focused purely on econometric factors. […]
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Zweig Breadth Thrust – The RecessionALERT Redux
Martin Zweig was an American stock investor, investment adviser, and financial analyst. According to Forbes Magazine, he was renowned for his “eccentric and lavish lifestyle” as well as having had the most expensive residence in the United States at the time, atop The Pierre on Fifth avenue in Manhattan. He was most well known for his 1986 book “Winning on Wall Street“, which is an investment classic, and his “Zweig Forecast” newsletter which, according to Hulbert Financial Digest, was the top market […]
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