Archive | December, 2012

Launch of new Recession Analytics Tool

Download article as PDF We are pleased to announce the revamp of our historical time-series data file, which is published quarterly, with the following new additions: Addition of  Labor Market Index historical data Addition of Long Leading Index historical data New analytic tool & charting visualisations Switch from quarterly to monthly publication The first two items are […]

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100% Recession risks – a follow on

Download article as PDF Professor Piger updated his recession probability model that caused so much attention early November (See “Debunking 100% probability of recession“). As we forecast last month, the probability index undertook a “revision” of epic proportions as displayed below (01-Dec-12 vintage): This is a classic real-world rendition as to why you cannot make […]

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