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The improved, de-trended Composite Market Health Index (CMHI)

One of our oldest and most consulted indicators by our institutional clients is the Composite Market Health Index (CMHI – see research paper ). By de-trending this index around its long-term regression mean we can obtain far earlier bear-market warnings and signalling for the U.S stock markets. You can see this index updated every day […]

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 IMPORTANT : SEE OUR 1Q2025 ECONOMIC WRAP IN THE COMMENTARY SECTION FOR AN UPDATE ON U.S AND GLOBAL ECONOMY AND RISING RECESSION RISKS.