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Archive | November, 2014

Valuations not at nose-bleed levels yet

By RecessionALERT on November 25, 2014 in Reflections

The recent run in the major U.S stock indices has resulted in Shiller-PE charts being trotted out showing how far we are off the historical mean, implying a nasty pullback is in the works. The problem with a historical mean is that it is a single horizontal value on a chart that fails to take […]

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Fingerprints of a short-term market top

By RecessionALERT on November 18, 2014 in Research Papers

The SP-500 has rallied sharply since the 15th October bottom, recovering all her losses in a shorter time than it took to incur them. It was a very rare display of the opposite behavior to the norm where “the bull climbs the staircase and the bear comes down the elevator”, since in this case, the […]

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